Blake at the Movies
Academy Award Nominee Predictions

It’s been an eventful awards season thus far with lots of speculation and a large number of strong achievements in filmmaking coming out of 2010.

In the wee hours of the morning on Tuesday, January 25th, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences will announce the nominees for this years’ Oscars. As much as I would like to say that things will calm down after that, the truth is that they will only heat up further. In an Oscars race where the contenders are so closely matched, things should get interesting. 

The Best Picture category is shaping up to be the battle of Weinstein vs. Rudin, the respective producers of The King’s Speech and The Social Network. King’s recent win at the PGA (Producer’s Guild of America) awards has solidified its place as a strong contender. Network, on the other hand, has been a front-runner all along. Will it be able to maintain its momentum?

The acting categories also promise to offer a few surprises. Natalie Portman and Annette Bening continue to vie for Best Actress. Colin firth leads the way in the Best Actor category and The Fighter’s Melissa Leo and Christian Bale are looking like strong possibilities for winning in the supporting categories. 

But enough about who will actually win, let’s talk about who is going to get nominated for now. I’ve been keeping tabs on the buzz for months, and I’m prepared to offer my personal predictions on what will get nominated for an Academy Award this year.

Best Picture

  • 127 Hours
  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • The King’s Speech
  • The Social Network
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter’s Bone

Possible surprises: Another Year, The Town

Best Director

  • Christopher Nolan, Inception
  • Darren Aranofsky, Black Swan
  • David Fincher, The Social Network
  • David O. Russell, The Fighter
  • Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech

Possible surprises: Lisa Cholodenko, The Kids Are All Right; Joel & Ethan Coen, True Grit

Best Actor

  • Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
  • James Franco, 127 Hours
  • Jeff Bridges, True Grit
  • Jessie Eisenberg, The Social Network
  • Ryan Gosling, Blue Valentine

Possible surprises: Paul Giamatti, Barney’s Version; Robert Duval, Get Low

Best Actress

  • Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
  • Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine
  • Natalie Portman, Black Swan
  • Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole

Possible surprises: Halle Berry, Frankie & Alice; Leslie Manville, Another Year

Supporting Actor

  • Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
  • Christian Bale, The Fighter
  • Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
  • Jeremy Renner, The Town
  • Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right

Possible surprises: Matt Damon, True Grit; Michael Douglas, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps; Vincent Cassell, Black Swan

Supporting Actress

  • Amy Adams, The Fighter
  • Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
  • Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
  • Melissa Leo, The Fighter
  • Mila Kunis, Black Swan

Possible surprises: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit; Diane Weist, Rabbit Hole

Original Screenplay

  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • The King’s Speech

Adapted Screenplay

  • 127 Hours
  • The Social Network
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter’s Bone

There are obviously a number of other categories that I haven’t addressed, but I frankly just don’t know enough about sound editing and score to predict those.